AGRICA – Climate risk analyses for adaptation planning in sub-Saharan Africa


General Information:

Author: Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research (PIK), Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ)

Year of publication: 2020

Available languages: English, German

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Comprehensive Impact and adaptation assessment

Details: Climate impact and vulnerability assessement, evaluation of adaptation strategies

Format of assessment: Report

Details: Report, Summary for policy makers, supplementary material, scientific articles

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: 6 months to 1 year

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Institutional scale of use: Multiple (see details)

Details: National, district and supranational level

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Multiple actors

Details: National, regional, local decision makers, national research institutes, public sector, extension agencies

Output: Report

Details: Climate risk Analysis Report, summary for policy makers, factsheets, films


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Europe

Developed by which sector: Development cooperation

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Africa

Details: Burkina Faso, Ethiopia, Ghana, Niger

Potential geographic coverage: Worldwide

Sectors covered: Agriculture, Water sector

Details: Livestock

Method used: Mixed method approach

Description of methodology: Climate modelling, crop modelling, literature review, multi-criteria analysis, vulnerability assessment

Risk framework used: AR5

Risk components incorporated: Vulnerability, sensitivity, exposure, adaptive capacity, hazard

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Changing precipitation patterns, Changing temperature patterns, Drought

Source of required data: Primary and secondary

Details: ISIMIP projections, remote sensing data, household data, literature review, census data, yield data

Temporal scale: All

Participatory elements: Yes

Details: Stakeholder engagement through workshops, interviews

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: Yes

Details: Full impact chain considered

Adressing uncertainty: Yes

Details: Uncertainty of the applied models considered

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts, identification of adaptation options, priorization of adaptation options, identification of limits to adaptation

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Both

Details: Strong focus on economic loss, which is incorporated through cost-benefit analysis of adaptation options. Non-economic loss is only mentioned but not explicitly focussed on

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): Partly

Details: Applicable for respective sectors


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: Yes

Details: Multi-criteria evaluation of adaptation strategies (cost-effectiveness, risk mitigation potential, co-benefits)

Usefulness for political purposes: It seeks to support evidence-based adaptation and NDC investment planning

Applied by whom: PIK in collaboration with GIZ and national institutions

Open access: Yes