Climate Change Adaptation and Natural Disasters Preparedness in the Coastal Cities of North Africa


General Information:

Author: Marseille Center for Mediterranean Integration, Worldbank, Egis BCEOM International, IAU-IDF, BRGM

Year of publication: 2011

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Comprehensive impact and risk assessment

Format of assessment: Report

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: More than 9 months

To be carried out by whom: Consultants (climate experts)

Institutional scale of use: Local/community

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Local decision makers

Output: Report


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Europe

Developed by which sector: Science, Development cooperation

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: North Africa

Potential geographic coverage: Worldwide

Sectors covered: Agriculture, Biodiversity, Infrastructure, Commercial sector, Urban sector

Details: Within an urban context

Method used: Mixed method approach

Description of methodology: Interpretation of aerial photographs and satellite imagery, digital elevation models, data bases (particularly on seismic aspects), geographic information systems (GIS), specific calculation methods (for estimating natural risks and the associated damages), modeling (climate change, urban floods, etc.), pilot application to analyze and simulate subsidence phenomena using satellite imagery through the support of the European Space Agency (ESA). Additionally technical, institutional and economic analysis has been conducted

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Details: Hazard data is derived from AR4 modelling

Risk components incorporated: Hazard, exposure, sensitivity

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Tsunami, Flood, Storm surge, Coastal erosion, Flood, Water scarcity

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Based on locally available data, publications or available from international organizations

Temporal scale: Current, Forward looking

Participatory elements: Partly

Details: State agencies for data collection and verification of study results

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: Partly

Details: All the hazards except for water scarcity were mapped using GIS, allowing representing cumulative effects in the 4 urban areas for the present situation and for horizon 2030

Adressing uncertainty: Partly

Details: Addressing uncertainty in climate change projections

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts, identification of adaptation options

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Economic

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): Yes

Details: Hazards cover whole spectrum from EWE to SOE


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: Yes

Open access: Yes