Climate Risk Assessment Guide – Central Asia


General Information:

Author: Climate and Development Knowledge Network (CDKN)

Year of publication: 2013

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Vulnerability assessment

Format of assessment: Guideline

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Multiple actors

Details: Government representatives and climate experts

Institutional scale of use: Multiple (see details)

Details: National, Regional

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Multiple actors

Details: Regional, state and local decision makers

Output: Report


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Central Asia

Developed by which sector: Development cooperation

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Asia

Potential geographic coverage: Central Asia

Sectors covered: Not sector specific

Details: Method allows for three options of focus: specific sectors; specific locations; specific hazards

Method used: Mixed method approach

Description of methodology: The climate-related risk assessment approach identified for Central Asia is based on an input-impact conceptualization of the links between climate and society. The conceptualization is actualized as an impact-based assessment of climate events, and a perception-based assessment of climate impact consequences and management options

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Risk components incorporated: All

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: All hazards

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Baseline data including elevation, administrative boundaries and place names, hydrologic and physical features (including elevation), population (disaggregated by gender) and roads and other infrastructure. Hazard data including the location, frequency, and magnitude of an event. Measurement is normally in terms of the number of events per period of time, often per year, or per 30 years, or up to 100 years for climate change risk assessments. Climate hazard damage data including aggregate damage in economic terms and in detail (e.g. number of lives loss, quantity of goods lost, number of buildings lost, etc.) as well as assistance provided, with analysis presented as per capita loss per hazard and per period, in monetary terms if possible. Socio-economic data covering available natural, social, financial and physical capitals, in terms of number, type and value

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: Yes

Details: Perception-based assessment of climate impact consequences and management options by using surveys

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: Yes

Details: Includes identification of correlation between climate-related hazards and climate parameters

Adressing uncertainty: No

Details: Where uncertainty is present in the results, it should be clearly noted. Where the detail and veracity of data is sufficient, more statistics-based methods can be used to present uncertainty (although a screening of available data indicates that such methods are not generally usable for the relevant data sets available for risk assessment in Central Asia).

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Both

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): Yes


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: No

Usefulness for political purposes: Climate funds

Applied by whom: CDKN, UNDP Central Asia Climate Risk Management Program

Open access: Yes