Climate Risk Assessment under Uncertainty: An Application to Main European Coastal Cities


General Information:

Author: Abadie, L.M. et al.

Year of publication: 2016

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Comprehensive impact and risk assessment

Format of assessment: Scientific article

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Institutional scale of use: Local/community

Details: Cities

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Local decision makers

Output: Report


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Europe

Developed by which sector: Science

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Europe

Potential geographic coverage: Worldwide

Sectors covered: Urban sector

Details: Urban planning

Method used: Quantitative model

Description of methodology: First step is to calibrate a stochastic diffusion model from down scales IPCC data. Second step is to measure risk through a value at risk estimate and a expected shortfall estimate. Based on the probability distribution a economic damage function is calculated

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Risk components incorporated: Hazard, exposure, sensitivity

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Sea level rise

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Local sea level projections, regionalized IPCC data, data on exposure and assets at risk from SLR

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: No

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: No

Adressing uncertainty: Yes

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Economic

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): No

Details: Sea level rise only


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: No

Applied by whom: Abadie, L. et al.

Open access: Yes