Decision-making for climate resilient livelihoods and risk reduction: A participatory scenario planning approach


General Information:

Author: CARE International

Year of publication: 2012

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Climate change adaptation assessment

Format of assessment: Guideline

Details: Short guideline on how to implement a participatory scenario planning approach including best practices

Estimated costs for conducting: Estimated cost factors: moderators, venue and costs for workshops

Estimated duration of assessment: Workshops are conducted when new climate information is available, therefore they may be conducted on a regular basis

To be carried out by whom: Multiple actors

Details: Local community; meteorologists, local government representatives, local NGOs

Institutional scale of use: Multiple (see details)

Details: Regional, Local/community

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Regional decision makers

Output: Others (see details)

Details: Scenarios that are ranked according to their likelihood


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Africa

Developed by which sector: Development cooperation

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Africa

Potential geographic coverage: Worldwide

Sectors covered: Not sector specific, Livelihood sector

Details: Can be applied to different sectors according to locally defined priorities. Method focuses on livelihoods

Method used: Scenario mapping

Description of methodology: Participative scenario planning is a 9-Step approach which identifies local expertise and data in climate forecasting, and invites stakeholders to develop scenarios, based on this data and local knowledge, in a participatory manner.

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Risk components incorporated: All

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: All hazards

Source of required data: Primary and secondary

Details: Data from climate forecasts is combined in a workshop format with technical expert's knowledge and knowledge of different local stakeholders

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: Yes

Details: Main element of the approach: conducting workshops for meteorologists, community members, local government, local NGO's to share knowledge on climate forecasts; Goal: to interpret climate information in a way which is userful for the communities

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: Yes

Adressing uncertainty: Yes

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts, identification of adaptation options, priorization of adaptation options

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Both

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): Yes


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: Yes

Applied by whom: CARE

Open access: Yes