Ensemble flood risk assessment in Europe under high end climate scenarios


General Information:

Author: Alfieri, L. et al.

Year of publication: 2015

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Climate change adaptation assessment

Format of assessment: Scientific article

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Institutional scale of use: Continental

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Multiple actors

Details: State level decision makers and all types of decision makers within the vicinity of rivers

Output: Risk map


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Europe

Developed by which sector: Science

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Europe

Potential geographic coverage: Europe

Sectors covered: Water sector

Method used: Quantitative model

Description of methodology: Hydro-meteorological models, statistical methods of extreme values and of ensemble forecasting, damage model for socio-economic impact assessment

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Risk components incorporated: Hazard, risk, impact

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Flood

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Oservational data, climate projections, datasets to model exposure and vulnerability

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: No

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: No

Adressing uncertainty: Yes

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Both

Details: Assess population numbers impacted but mainly economic damage

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): No


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: No

Applied by whom: Alfieri, L. et al.

Open access: Yes