Flood risk and adaptation strategies under climate change and urban expansion: A probabilistic analysis using global data


General Information:

Author: Muis, S. et al.

Year of publication: 2015

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Comprehensive impact and risk assessment

Format of assessment: Scientific article

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Institutional scale of use: National

Assesment to be used by which target audience: State level decision makers

Output: Others (see details)

Details: Flood risk projections and damage function


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: North America, Europe

Developed by which sector: Science

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Asia

Potential geographic coverage: Worldwide

Sectors covered: Urban sector

Details: urban planning

Method used: Quantitative model

Description of methodology: Probabilistic modelling of flood risk based on hazard, vulnerability and exposure modelling. Additionally effect of adaptation measures is modelled

Risk framework used: Broad risk mapping according to different definition

Risk components incorporated: Hazard, exposure, vulnerability, risk

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Flood

Details: Coastal and river flood

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Future climate projections, SLR projections, data on land coverage and land use, exposure estimates

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: Partly

Details: Expert opinions and workshops were used as a source for vulnerability estimates (damage function) by developing land use classes in Jakarta

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: No

Adressing uncertainty: Yes

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts

Details: Two adaptation measures are modelled but no other options are evaluated or suggested

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Economic

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): Partly

Details: Considers increased exposure due to sea level rise


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: Partly

Details: Two adaptation measures are modelled but no other options are evaluated or suggested

Applied by whom: Muis, S. et al.

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