Incorporating Potential Severity into Vulnerability Assessment of Water Supply Systems under Climate Change Conditions


General Information:

Author: Goharian, E. et al.

Year of publication: 2016

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Vulnerability assessment

Format of assessment: Scientific article

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Institutional scale of use: Local/community

Details: Water reservoirs

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Local decision makers

Output: Report


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: North America

Developed by which sector: Science

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: North America

Potential geographic coverage: USA

Sectors covered: Water sector

Method used: Quantitative model

Description of methodology: Analysis of General Circulation Models to project streamflow; incorporation of hydrologic model from reservoir; system dynamics model used to simulate the reservoirs operation; incorporation of climate change conditions; assessment of vulnerability and sensitivity analysis

Risk framework used: AR5

Risk components incorporated: Vulnerability, sensitivity, exposure, adaptive capacity

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Changing precipitation patterns

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Historical precipitation and temperature data, climate change projections

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: No

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: Partly

Details: Several climate change impacts considered in modelling approach

Adressing uncertainty: No

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks

Details: Vulnerability assessment

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: None

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): Partly

Details: Consideration of long term climate projections


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: No

Applied by whom: Goharian, E. et al.

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