Risk assessment of precipitation and the tourism climate index


General Information:

Author: Olya,H. , Alipour, H.

Year of publication: 2015

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Comprehensive impact and risk assessment

Format of assessment: Scientific article

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Institutional scale of use: Regional

Assesment to be used by which target audience: Private sector representatives/SME owners

Details: Tourism sector

Output: Others (see details)

Details: Report and risk map


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Europe

Developed by which sector: Science

Applied in practice: Yes

Geographic coverage in analysis: Europe

Potential geographic coverage: Cyprus

Sectors covered: Tourism sector

Method used: Quantitative model

Description of methodology: Calculation of precipitation risk based on an Information Diffusion Model (IDM). Probabilities of precipitation were extracted from IDM and inserted into the Tourism Climate Index (TCI) which produced results on the risk of precipitation to tourism and spatially mapped through GIS

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Risk components incorporated: Risk

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Extreme rainfall

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Longitudinal data on precipitation in the region (derived from weather stations)

Temporal scale: None

Details: Only probability of precipitation was calculated

Participatory elements: No

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: No

Adressing uncertainty: Yes

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks, assessment of impacts, identification of adaptation options

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Economic

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): No


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: Yes

Applied by whom: Olya, H., Alipour, H.

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