Using climate model simulations to assess the current climate risk to maize production


General Information:

Author: Kent, C. et al.

Year of publication: 2017

Available languages: English

Details of Assessment:

Type of assessment: Comprehensive impact and risk assessment

Format of assessment: Scientific article

Estimated costs for conducting: No information

Estimated duration of assessment: No information

To be carried out by whom: Scientists/researchers

Details: Climate scientists/GIS experts as this is a highly scientific approach requiring in-depth understanding of data analysis

Institutional scale of use: Multiple (see details)

Details: National, regional

Assesment to be used by which target audience: State level decision makers

Output: Others (see details)

Details: Physically plausible model simulations


Coverage & Methodology:

Region of origin: Europe

Developed by which sector: Science

Applied in practice: Partly

Geographic coverage in analysis: North America, Asia

Potential geographic coverage: USA, China

Sectors covered: Agriculture, Water sector

Details: Maize production

Method used: Quantitative model

Description of methodology: Calculating and combining statistics of agricultural data, historical meteorological data, severe water stress indicator, and climate model data

Risk framework used: No explicit use of risk framework

Risk components incorporated: Exposure, risk

Hazards and impacts considered in the assessment: Drought

Source of required data: Secondary (available data is used)

Details: Agricultural data, historical meteorological data, climate model data

Temporal scale: Forward looking

Participatory elements: No

Consideration of interconnectedness and -dependencies of risks: No

Adressing uncertainty: No

Details: The analysis performed here is based on one climate model. Thus, provides no assessment of model structural uncertainty

Scope of assessment: Identification of risks

Relevance for losses and damages:

Economic/Non-Economic losses incorporated: Economic

Details: Qualitative description only

Applicability for entire risk spectrum (from extreme weather events to slow onset processes): No

Details: Focus only on drought


Recommendations for Adaptation measures included in Climate Risk Assessment: No

Usefulness for political purposes: Understanding the spatial pattern of risk across a country and ability to assess the spatial component of exposure at different scales

Applied by whom: Kent, C. et al.

Open access: Yes